Showing posts with label You Tube. Show all posts
Showing posts with label You Tube. Show all posts

Saturday, May 30, 2009

How Susan Boyle Provides a Lesson for Stock Investing

The 'Helicopter Economics Investing Guide' is meant to help educate people on how to make profitable investing choices in the current economic environment. In addition to the term helicopter economics, we have also coined the term, helicopternomics, to describe the current monetary and fiscal policies of the U.S. government and to update the old-fashioned term wheelbarrow economics.

Our Video Related to this Blog:

Tonight is the final show in this season's 'Britain's Got Talent', the rough equivalent of 'American Idol'. The odds on favorite to win is Susan Boyle. Ms. Boyle is one of the most unlikely of superstars. She doesn't look the part. Instead of being young, glamorous, and sophisticated, she is middle aged, frumpy, and quirky. When she appeared for the audition, the public jeered and the 'expert' judges rolled their eyes. But when she opened her mouth to sing, it became immediately evident that Susan Boyle was one of the biggest talents of our era. Her audition performance so far has 220,000,000 online views on You Tube and elsewhere - the most ever, beating out second place by 100,000,000.

If Susan Boyle had been a stock trading on the market, she would have been valued in the low single digits barely hoovering above a bankruptcy price. She would have been generally ignored by the public. Any stock advice service would have rated her at their lowest level, pointing out all the superficial flaws and ignoring the rich value underneath. She would get no media coverage, most of which is reserved for the exciting glam stocks of the moment and the slow moving big caps. While the glam stocks can burn your portfolio badly, it's the Susan Boyle stocks that make you the big money.

The thing I find most amazing about Susan Boyle, is that there were a number of points throughout her life when should could have been discovered, but wasn't. People saw her, but they didn't look; they heard her, but they didn't listen. They simply ignored a major talent staring them right in the face. The analogy for the stock market is apt. The real money making stocks are ignored over and over again. They are staring you and the 'experts' in the face the entire time though. If you can train yourself to look at the data points that everyone else ignores, you can become quite rich. If you have any doubts, just look at Warren Buffett. He basically pays attention to aspects of a company that Wall Street ignores.

The most obvious example of the Susan Boyle phenomenon currently is what has happened to natural resource stocks in the last year. Some of the smaller caps lost 90% of their value or more. Did their value really change though? All the gold, silver, oil, diamonds, etc were still under the surface available for use in the future. The price of these are likely to go up substantially as time goes on as well. Yet traders and investors got caught up in the events of the moment. The real worth of these stocks were ignored (except by the New York Investing meetup and other non-mainstream sources) and that is one reason they have started roaring back.

Investing would be so much easier if stocks could just sing for you.

NEXT: GM Bankruptcy End of Era; Oil Rally Continues

Daryl Montgomery
Organizer,New York Investing meetup
http://investing.meetup.com/21

This posting is editorial opinion. Like all other postings for this blog, there is no intention to endorse the purchase or sale of any security.





Sunday, December 28, 2008

New York Investing meetup members in the Videosphere

The 'Helicopter Economics Investing Guide' is meant to help educate people on how to make profitable investing choices in the current economic environment. In addition to the term helicopter economics, we have also coined the term, helicopternomics, to describe the current monetary and fiscal policies of the U.S. government and to update the old-fashioned term wheelbarrow economics.

Video Related to this Blog: See body of blog.

There are videos online with people from New York Investing that are not produced by us. MSN Money has a series with insightful comments from group members Jason Tilliberg, Bob Rubin, and Steve Cheung. I myself have showed up questioning Bernie Madoff in a controversial You Tube video.

The MSN Money interviews were conducted several months ago before a meeting and what is posted online has changed over time. New York Investing meetup members participating in the interviews did a spectacular job, even obvious in the edited versions, and they deserve kudos. Unfortunately, MSN Money does not. MSN Money misidentified the name of our group, calling us the New York Investors meetup, instead of the New York Investing meetup. Despite this potential slander and requests on my part to fix it, the error persists. MSN Money also misidentified one of the interviewees and misspelled Steve Cheung's name. They have also refused to correct these errors as well. Adding misrepresentation to incompetence, the interviews have also been put into a bigger piece that recommends mutual funds as the way for investors to go - something that New York Investing is very much opposed to. Except for the interviews with Bob, Steve, and Jason, I don't recommend looking at anything on the MSN Money website. To find the interviews, click on 'Getting advice from an investing club' after going to: http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/learn-how-to-invest/how-to-invest-1000.aspx?GT1=33014.

As for the video with me questioning Madoff, this took place in the fall of 2007. There was at a forum at the non-profit Philoctetes Center (now going bankrupt because it had much if not all of its money with Madoff) on technology in the stock market. Bernie Madoff was on the panel run by Times Magazine writer Justin Fox. In a recent blog of his, Fox admitted to meeting with Madoff at Madoff's request days before the meeting to discuss how the forum should be run. Toward the end, I asked a question about the Asian market bubble that I stated was about to blow up (which it did almost immediately thereafter). At the end of the question, you can see Justin Fox mumbling. Although this video doesn't have the answer, the question was deflected away from Madoff to another panel member. Perhaps just another example of how big media protected Madoff? I'll let you be the judge.

The video can be found on You Tube and is entitled, "Bernie Madoff on the modern stock market". The URL is: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=auSfaavHDXQ. I am in the last minute or so of the video, so fast forward to around 32 minutes. There is supposed to be a longer version with the answer to the question somewhere on You Tube as well.

NEXT: The Euro, Oil, Retail Bankruptcies, and GMAC

Daryl Montgomery
Organizer,New York Investing meetup
http://investing.meetup.com/21

This posting is editorial opinion. Like all other postings for this blog, there is no intention to endorse the purchase or sale of any security.